NBA Prop Bets 01/22/2022

Trae Young under 28.5 points

On Friday night, the Atlanta Hawks will face off against the Miami Heat for the 3rd time in the last 10 days, with the Heat winning each of the previous 2 matchups. Trae Young struggled to get going in both of those games, scoring only 24 and 15 points on 11/28 shooting. In his career, Trae Young has played the Miami Heat 11 times, averaging a measly 20.2 PPG and only clearing his current line of 28.5 points one time. Trae is averaging 27.9 PPG on the season, so it’s very surprising to see him lined above his season average against one of the best defenses in the league. The Miami Heat allow the fewest PPG to opposing PG’s and have the 7th best defensive rating in the league. This projects to be a slower paced game with the Heat bottom 5 in pace and a game total of only 219. All things considered, this looks like a great spot to fade Trae Young, we think his points prop should be closer to 24.5, so we played Trae Young under 28.5 points and also under 41.5 points + rebounds + assists.