Super Bowl 56 Picks
Super Bowl 56 Pick ATS & Prop Bets
Whatever your reason to watch the Super Bowl is, Super Bowl Sunday is a great American tradition. From your “where’s the puppy bowl” fans to your avid sports bettor/huge football fan, it is highly likely that you will be sitting around a TV come Sunday Night. With that said, there are a few things you should know.
This year’s big game is the first Super Bowl in 18 years that doesn’t have Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Ben Roethlisberger, or the 49ers. While that seems like a long time without parody, it is even longer for this Superbowl’s underdog in the Cincinnati Bengals. Cincinnati has not been to the Superbowl since 1991 and has never won the big game. On the other hand, the Rams are familiar with being in big games. Despite not winning the Super Bowl since the ’99-00 season, the Rams have been in the playoffs in four of the past five seasons. In addition, they also had a Super Bowl appearance in the 2018-19 season.
Currently, the spread on the game is -4 in favor of the Rams (according to BetMGM). The line makes sense as the Rams quite literally have home-field advantage this game despite being the “visitors”. This year marks the second year in a row that the host city for the Super Bowl will have their team represented in the big game. Last year, it worked out really well for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as they shut down Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in a dominant 31-9 victory.
Although the Rams have earned being favored, I believe that the Bengals are a team of destiny. Just two seasons ago, Cincinnati was drafting first overall. This year, Cincinnati drafted fifth overall. Those draft selections, Joe Burrow and Jamaar Chase respectively, have played a massive part in turning the franchise around. Both of these guys have big game experience coming out of college, and it has showed in their first playoff run. The Bengals are comfortable, especially because all of their playoff games to this point have been outside in the cold. Coming to an indoor stadium will be a nice luxury for the Bengals, even though they are playing in their opponent’s stadium.
All of that said, my pick ATS is Bengals +4. I do think that the Bengals will win the game outright, but the game should be close regardless. Ride Bengals +4 with me, and you’ll win if the Bengals win and if they lose by a field goal. Favorites are 29-26 ATS in the Super Bowl, so it isn’t too far-fetched to say that Joe Shiesty and the Bengals will cover as the underdog. Furthermore, Burrow as an underdog is 11-2 in his NFL career as the underdog of at least three points (7-5-1 outright). Safe to say, Joe Burrow as an underdog is a dangerous man.
Sure, Joe Burrow’s story is a good one. However, I would be selling you short if I didn’t at least mention Matt Stafford. After 12 exhausting seasons in Detroit, Stafford was finally granted a get out of jail free card as he was traded to Los Angeles this past offseason. For obvious reasons, Stafford just seems to have enjoyed himself this year more than other years in his career. Although he did lead the league in interceptions, Stafford still had a solid season and has an outstanding team around him. Before the season, Stafford had never won a playoff game, and now he finds himself in the big game for the first time in his 13-year career. All the pressure
in the world is on Stafford, but he doesn’t have to be perfect in order to win the game. If the defensive front plays well and Jamaar Chase doesn’t break loose, the Rams could win the game. However, I’m not sure that both of those things will happen. So, Matt Stafford will literally need to play the best game of his life to win. I do think that Stafford will play well overall, but I think jitters will get to him at some point and force a mistake. That being said, my prop bet pick is a Matt Stafford O 0.5 interceptions (-140, this is basically an anytime interception bet).
Take my picks, or don’t take my picks. Either way, this Super Bowl should be one for the ages. I am beyond excited to see what will go down on Saturday night, and I’m sure most of you are too. Pound some beers, eat some good food, and maybe place one of the bets I gave out. Let’s Geaux Bengals!
The Pick: Cincinnati Bengals (+4, -110) & Matt Stafford O 0.5 Interception (-140)